2017-18 pompey-rochdale pitman celebPompey er nået op i spillet om play off, dagens modstander er formstærke dog.


På papiret ligner det en enkel opgave for Pompey, som liggende lige uden for play off, når de tager af sted for at møde Rochdale, der ligger placeret tredjesidst i League One.

Men sæsonen for Rochdale har været noget turbulent, forstået på den måde at Rochdale med succes nåede 5.runde i FA cuppen, og det kostede nok lidt i turneringen, og siden deres exit i FA cuppen, så er det gået fremad på pointfronten.

Således har de seneste 8 kampe blot givet 1 nederlag og samlet set har Pompey og Rochdale hentet 15 point hver i de seneste 8 kampe.

For begge klubber er der således meget på spil og begge kommer med masser af selvtillid.

Pompey som kommer med 4 sejre i streg og hvor de 3 af kampene har været clean sheets, det har bragt holdet med helt fremme og drømmen om play off er levende igen. Pudsigt nok, har Rochdale trods placeringen under nedrykningsstregen lukket færre mål ind!

Rochdale, kan med en sejr faktisk kavle over stregen, så det bliver tæt

Rochdale manager er Keith Hill, han er i klubben i anden ombæring, første gang var 2006-11 og igen siden starten af 2013.
Over 500 kampe har han været chef for Rochdale, så den 48 årige tidligere forsvarsspiller, er en manager der sidder sikkert i sædet.

Hold øje med
Topscorer er Ian Henderson på 33 år, han har været i klubben siden 2013, og 70 mål har han lavet i 201 kampe for Rochdale. I denne sæson har han lavet 11 mål, han har lavet mål de seneste to kampe.

Steve Davis kunne være makkeren i front, den 30 årige angriber laver i snit mål hver 4.kamp for Rochdale, har i denne sæson lavet 6 mål, men har mest været brugt som indskifter.

Makkeren bliver nok Humprys på 20 år, der er på lån fra Fulham.

Pompey
De skadede spillere er ved at være tilbage og det gør Pompey står med en god komplet trup til de afgørende kampe.

Nøglen til succes hedder hårdt arbejde og få skabt chancer, for Pitman som er holdets topscorer kommer til afslutninger, og med 20 mål i denne sæson, ved Rochdale han er farlig.

Det er på kanterne Pompey skal frem, Naismith ligner en spiller der er ved at ramme niveauet fra sidste sæson hvor han var flyvende, Naimsith er startet inde de seneste 6 kampe.

På den anden fløj ligger Jamal Lowe som kan sætte en mand af, men ikke kan afslutte, men hans speed og evnen til at skabe farlige situationer, den skal udnyttes.

I forsvaret, der har den nye konstellation Clarke/Whatmough været forrygende, de seneste 4 kampe har de to blot lukket 1 mål ind sammen.

Hjemmesiden www.experimental361.com bruger en model baseret på mål, til at gave bud på kampene og på hvordan slutstillingen bliver.

Pompey bliver givet 44% chance for at nå play off, mens Rochdale med 75% sikkerhed undgår nedrykningen.

Samme side giver bud på chancefordelingen, baseret på det som der hedder expected goals model, og her re Rochdale favoritter, men det er tæt. 38% tyder på en sejr, 29% for en uafgjort og 33% er budet på en sejr til Pompey.

Pompey manager Kenny Jackett
‘Of course they (the volume of away games) are significant. ‘But things don’t always work out exactly how you think. ‘You can have four or five nailed-on home games, but it doesn’t work out like that in football.

‘Our away record is good. ‘So there shouldn’t be, even subconsciously, any lack of confidence there. ‘In terms of physical and mental preparation for these (away) games, the club do everything right to prepare the players.

‘They give us and the players all the best chance. ‘So there is no excuses there. ‘For us, we have to make sure we’re ready and rise to the challenge.’ It’s the time of season when fans begin assessing the remaining games of their rivals to judge how tough their run-ins are. Jackett feels that is ultimately a fruitless task. He said:

‘I don’t particularly look at them because it never works out how you think anyway. ‘Or, if it does, you should probably be in a different job. ‘From my point of view, no I don’t. You should look and try to focus on yourself. ‘It’s the same as any game. You can do a fantastic analysis on the game. ‘You can absolutely nail it on their strengths and weaknesses. ‘But if you don’t get your own team right you don’t win.

‘Similarly you can bowl into a game not really getting it right and not knowing what the other side are doing. ‘But if your own team are in a good place in terms of ability, attitude, balance of the team and focus - then you win.

‘What’s happening around you isn’t really something you can affect anyway. ‘Your own training ground, your own players and making sure your side have the right ingredients to win is where we’re at.’

Rochdale manager Keith Hill
'We’ve stumbled upon it this season but we’re fighting and that’s what makes me proud of this group of players and the football club, because we’re willing to fight against some superior financial teams in this league. 'Our previous results are in the past now but it’s a good reminder of what we’re capable of.

It’s also a reminder of what we have to do and we can’t rest on our laurels. “We’ve given ourselves a lot of work to do. It’s about continually keeping a balanced account of things and making sure that we make the most of the last eight games. 'They’re big games for us but individually they are also big games. We’ve just got to play the opposition, not where they are in the league table. 'We’ve got to give our opponents as much respect as we possibly can, but also trust ourselves. At this moment in time, we’re doing a lot of good things.

It’s also a reminder of what we have to do and we can’t rest on our laurels. “We’ve given ourselves a lot of work to do. It’s about continually keeping a balanced account of things and making sure that we make the most of the last eight games. 'They’re big games for us but individually they are also big games. We’ve just got to play the opposition, not where they are in the league table. 'We’ve got to give our opponents as much respect as we possibly can, but also trust ourselves. At this moment in time, we’re doing a lot of good things. “There are going to be a lot of ups and downs over the last eight games but what we’ve got to do is retain a balanced view and not emotionally react. 'That’s what I’m trying to do with the players and the football club and what will be, will be. 'What we won’t do is rest on laurels or stop working as hard as we have been doing.'